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February 2006                                                                            Volume 10 - Number 1

    

 

Disaster Update...

     

 

 

Statistics for Recent Disasters
By John F. Norton

Katrina

Deaths:  The total number of fatalities known, as of this writing [December 20, 2005], to be either directly or indirectly related to Katrina is 1336, based on reports to date from state and local officials in five states: 1090 fatalities in Louisiana, 228 in Mississippi, 14 in Florida, 2 in Georgia, and 2 in Alabama. The total number of fatalities directly related to the forces of Katrina is estimated to be about 1200 spread across four states, with about 1000 of these in Louisiana, about 200 in Mississippi, 6 in Florida, and one in Georgia.  (Tropical Cyclone Report. Hurricane Katrina. 23-30 August 2005.  Richard D. Knabb, Jamie R. Rhome, and Daniel P. Brown.  National Hurricane Center.  20 December 2005.  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf )

Injuries:  2,018  post hurricane (Surveillance for Illness and Injury After Hurricane Katrina --- New Orleans, Louisiana, September 8--25, 2005. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report October 14, 2005.  Centers for Disease Control.   http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/wk/mm5440.pdf )

Displaced:  400,000 individuals displaced (By the Numbers: First 100 Days - FEMA Recovery Update for Hurricane Katrina.  Wednesday, 07-Dec-2005.  FEMA.  http://www.fema.gov/media/archives/index120705.shtm )

Evacuated:  > 1.5M prior to landfall, up to 100,000 more afterward.  (Environmental Health Perspectives Volume 114, Number 1, January 2006.  National Institutes of Health.  http://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/members/2006/114-1/focus.html )   

Property Damage:  A preliminary estimate of the total damage cost of Katrina is assumed to be roughly twice the insured losses (using the AISG estimate), or about $75 billion.  (Tropical Cyclone Report. Hurricane Katrina. 23-30 August 2005.  Richard D. Knabb, Jamie R. Rhome, and Daniel P. Brown.  National Hurricane Center.  20 December 2005.  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf )

Economic Losses:  $125B (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Insured Losses:  Estimates of the insured property losses caused by Katrina vary considerably and range between about $20 billion and $60 billion. The American Insurance Services Group (AISG) estimates that Katrina is responsible for $38.1 billion of insured losses in the United States. (Tropical Cyclone Report. Hurricane Katrina. 23-30 August 2005.  Richard D. Knabb, Jamie R. Rhome, and Daniel P. Brown.  National Hurricane Center.  20 December 2005.  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf )  

$45B (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Donations:  Not possible to track – much is compacted into “hurricane relief” covering Katrina, Rita, and Wilma.  Original pledges and follow-ups not traced.

Ranking:  6th most intense hurricane to strike US


Wilma

Deaths:  Twenty-two deaths have been directly attributed to Wilma: 12 in Haiti, 1 in Jamaica, 4 in Mexico, and 5 in Florida.

Injuries:  Unknown.  

Displaced:  300,000 displaced (Mexico), 4200 displaced (Cuba), 1500 displaced (Bahamas),

Evacuated:  80,000 US; 370,000, Cuba;  >20,000 tourists, Mexico. (  Wilma slams Mexico resorts
Plodding hurricane could reach Florida on Monday.  CNN. http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/10/21/wilma/index.html )

Property Damage:  Using a doubling of insured losses to obtain the total damage gives a
current estimate of Wilma’s U.S. damage to be $12.2 billion.

Economic Losses:  $16B (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Insured Losses:  A preliminary amount of total insured damage compiled by the Property Claims Service is $6.1 billion.  (Tropical Cyclone Report. Hurricane Wilma
15-25 October 2005. Richard J. Pasch, Eric S. Blake, Hugh D. Cobb III, and David P. Roberts. National Hurricane Center 12 January 2006.  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL242005_Wilma.pdf )

$10B (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Donations:  Not possible to track – much is compacted into “hurricane relief” covering Katrina, Rita, and Wilma.  Original pledges and follow-ups not traced.

Ranking:  Most intense hurricane to strike US


Rita


Deaths:  6 direct, 119 total.  (various sources, compiled at Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Rita#Deaths )

Injuries:    4579 post hurricane.  (Injury and Illness Surveillance in
Hospitals and Acute-Care Facilities After Hurricanes Katrina and Rita — New Orleans Area, Louisiana, September 25–October 15, 2005.  Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.  January 20, 2006. Centers for Disease Control.  http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/wk/mm5502.pdf )

Displaced:   478,151 (receiving assistance from FEMA)  (Disaster Recovery Aid Exceeds $588.9 Million For Hurricane Rita.  FEMA.  09-Jan-2006.  http://www.fema.gov/news/newsrelease.fema?id=22241 )

Evacuated:  ~3M  (  As Rita swells, mass evacuation crawls. Ralph Blumenthal and Terence Neilan. The New York Times.  FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2005  http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/09/23/news/rita.php )
 
Property Damage:  $9.4B  (MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT THU DEC 1 2005.  http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TWSAT )

Economic Losses:  $15B.  (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Insured Losses:  $10B.  (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Donations:  Not possible to track – much is compacted into “hurricane relief” covering Katrina, Rita, and Wilma.  Original pledges and follow-ups not traced.

Ranking:  Ranking:  6th most intense hurricane to strike US


Indian Ocean Tsunami


Deaths:  Over 223,492 people across 12 countries (Tsunami Recovery:Taking Stock after 12 Months.  Office of the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for Tsunami Recovery.  December 22, 2005 http://www.tsunamispecialenvoy.org/pdf/OSE_anniversary.pdf )  

Injuries:  ~125,000 (various sources, compiled at Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake#Damage_and_casualties )

Displaced:  Around 20% of the 1.8M initially displaced people are in permanent homes.  (A place to stay, a place to live. Challenges in providing shelter in India, Indonesia, and Sri Lanka after the tsunami. OxFam America. December 14, 2005. http://www.oxfamamerica.org/newsandpublications/publications/briefing_papers/briefing_note.2005-12-14.7726023050/oibntsunamishelterfinal_12_12_05_US_version.pdf )

Evacuated:  None – no warning.  

Property Damage:  $10B.  (Tsunami Recovery:Taking Stock after 12 Months.  Office of the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for Tsunami Recovery.  December 22, 2005 http://www.tsunamispecialenvoy.org/pdf/OSE_anniversary.pdf )  


Economic Losses:  $10B – the cost of reconstruction.  The economies of the affected were expected to be minimally affected.  (At-a-glance: Tsunami economic impact.  BBC News.  March 22, 2005  http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4154277.stm )

Insured Losses:  In January 2005, Swiss Re estimated insured losses from the disaster at around $5 billion. More recent insured loss estimates range from $2.5 billion to $4 billion. (ASIAN EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI. An Insurance Perspective
Insurance Information Institute March 29, 2005)

Donations:  $13.6B pledged, ~$10B delivered from government, NGO, and private sources.   (Tsunami Recovery:Taking Stock after 12 Months.  Office of the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for Tsunami Recovery.  December 22, 2005 http://www.tsunamispecialenvoy.org/pdf/OSE_anniversary.pdf )  

Ranking:  9.0-9.3 on the Richter scale, second most powerful earthquake ever recorded.  

Pakistan Earthquake

Deaths:  87,000 (MRNatCatSERVICE ®  The five largest natural catastrophes of 2005.  December 29, 2005.  http://www.munichre.com/assets/pdf/press/2005_12_29_app1_en.pdf )

Injuries:  >106,000 (various sources, compiled at Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_Kashmir_earthquake#Casualties )

Displaced:  2.8 million persons have been left without shelter (Pakistan 2005 Earthquake Preliminary Damage and Needs Assessment.  Asian Development Bank and World Bank Islamabad, Pakistan.  November 12, 2005 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Reports/pakistan-damage-needs-assessment.pdf )      

Evacuated:  None, no warning.  

Property Damage:  $2.3B (Pakistan 2005 Earthquake Preliminary Damage and Needs Assessment.  Asian Development Bank and World Bank Islamabad, Pakistan.  November 12, 2005 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Reports/pakistan-damage-needs-assessment.pdf )      

Economic Losses:  $600M  (Pakistan 2005 Earthquake Preliminary Damage and Needs Assessment.  Asian Development Bank and World Bank Islamabad, Pakistan.  November 12, 2005 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Reports/pakistan-damage-needs-assessment.pdf )  

Insured Losses:  There are as yet no estimates of insured losses from this event, although these are not expected to be high as insurance penetration in Pakistan generally is very low.  (Catastrophe Report.  The Pakistan Earthquake 8th October, 2005.  Willis Re.  11 October 2005.  http://www.willisre.com/html/reports/catastrophe/Pakistan_Oct_2005_v2.pdf  )

Donations:  As of November 11th, according to Government reports, assistance totaling nearly US$2.5 billion has been pledged by a total of 83 bilateral as well as multilateral donors, with many also providing significant in-kind support including logistical and manpower assistance to the relief efforts. (Pakistan 2005 Earthquake Preliminary Damage and Needs Assessment.  Asian Development Bank and World Bank Islamabad, Pakistan.  November 12, 2005 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Reports/pakistan-damage-needs-assessment.pdf )  

Ranking:  7.6 on the Richter scale (major, but not in the top earthquakes).